Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Dogecoin Up or Down - November 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Resolved Down. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 40%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$669.99

Combined PnL

-$3.34

Down

2 of 5 top traders (40%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Up0%

Down100%

Down2 traders

Total Value$149.91

Total Shares150

Combined PnL+$2.15

Up3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares27

Combined PnL-$5.49

Down — 40%Up — 60%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
SO soswald1ARB<$100	Upavg 50¢	$550	$520.08	-$2.77	52% 4002-3711 (7713)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$272.5	—	-$271.85
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$260.04	$520.08	+$269.08
0X 0x50f7	Downavg 98.9¢	$143.26	$144.91	+$1.65	54% 1670-1435 (3105)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Upavg 23.5¢	$2.82	—	-$2.82	44% 2501-3236 (5737)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Upavg 13.6¢	$1.29	—	-$1.29	53% 3147-2839 (5986)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Upavg 23¢	$1.38	—	-$1.38	48% 2635-2900 (5535)
ohioism<$100	Downavg 90¢	$4.5	$5	+$0.5	47% 2539-2808 (5347)