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DownUpDown
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100DownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Dogecoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 80%
Total Value
$26
Combined PnL
-$519.25
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares571
Combined PnL-$526.33
Up1 trader
Total Value$26
Total Shares26
Combined PnL+$7.08
Down — 80%Up — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1CTR | Downavg 50¢ | $550 | — | -$521.1 | 52% 3978-3687 (7665) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 72.8¢ | $18.92 | $26 | +$7.08 | 49% 2590-2661 (5251) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Downavg 29.8¢ | $3.28 | — | -$3.28 | 43% 2210-2957 (5167) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 22¢ | $1.1 | — | -$1.1 | 53% 3129-2827 (5956) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 17¢ | $0.85 | — | -$0.85 | 49% 3718-3826 (7544) |
SO
soswald1CTRInvested
$550
Value
—
PnL
-$521.1
Record
52%
3978-3687 (7665)
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$18.92
Value
$26
PnL
+$7.08
Record
49%
2590-2661 (5251)
0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100Invested
$3.28
Value
—
PnL
-$3.28
Record
43%
2210-2957 (5167)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$1.1
Value
—
PnL
-$1.1
Record
53%
3129-2827 (5956)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$0.85
Value
—
PnL
-$0.85
Record
49%
3718-3826 (7544)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x33cb6771...b38720
Slug
doge-updown-5m-1794781500