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Down
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100UpDown
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Up
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Up
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Dogecoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 60%
Total Value
$22.09
Combined PnL
$0.18
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down2 traders
Total Value$22.09
Total Shares22
Combined PnL+$7.45
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares22
Combined PnL-$7.27
Down — 40%Up — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1<$100 | Downavg 62.9¢ | $9.96 | $15.83 | +$5.87 | 52% 3952-3665 (7617) |
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 40¢ | $6 | — | -$6 | 44% 2472-3195 (5667) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 42.2¢ | $4.68 | $6.26 | +$1.58 | 49% 3684-3801 (7485) |
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Upavg 17¢ | $0.85 | — | -$0.85 | 50% 1792-1817 (3609) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 25¢ | $0.42 | — | -$0.42 | 53% 3113-2811 (5924) |
SO
soswald1<$100Invested
$9.96
Value
$15.83
PnL
+$5.87
Record
52%
3952-3665 (7617)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$6
Value
—
PnL
-$6
Record
44%
2472-3195 (5667)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100Invested
$4.68
Value
$6.26
PnL
+$1.58
Record
49%
3684-3801 (7485)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$0.85
Value
—
PnL
-$0.85
Record
50%
1792-1817 (3609)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.42
Value
—
PnL
-$0.42
Record
53%
3113-2811 (5924)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x6530538c...287b35
Slug
doge-updown-5m-1794776100