Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Dogecoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 50%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$549.88

Combined PnL

-$19.21

Down

2 of 4 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Up0%

Down100%

Down2 traders

Total Value$16.82

Total Shares17

Combined PnL+$7.36

Up2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares86

Combined PnL-$26.57

Down — 50%Up — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
SO soswald1ARB<$100	Downavg 50¢	$550	$533.07	+$2.82	52% 3952-3665 (7617)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$266.53	$533.07	+$264.12
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$265	—	-$261.3
MayorMamdani<$100	Downavg 29¢	$4.3	$9.99	+$5.69	53% 3113-2811 (5924)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100	Upavg 28.4¢	$24.35	—	-$24.35	50% 1792-1817 (3609)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Downavg 56.3¢	$5.16	$6.82	+$1.66	49% 3684-3801 (7485)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Upavg 37¢	$2.22	—	-$2.22	48% 2606-2865 (5471)