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Down
ohioism<$100Up
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Down
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100DownUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Dogecoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$8.19
Combined PnL
-$3.84
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares28
Combined PnL-$7.73
Up2 traders
Total Value$8.19
Total Shares8
Combined PnL+$3.88
Down — 60%Up — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Downavg 29.7¢ | $5.38 | — | -$5.38 | 52% 3858-3579 (7437) |
ohioism<$100 | Upavg 24¢ | $1.22 | $5.07 | +$3.85 | 48% 2440-2688 (5128) |
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 24¢ | $1.2 | — | -$1.2 | 49% 1742-1781 (3523) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 23¢ | $1.15 | — | -$1.15 | 52% 3043-2759 (5802) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $3.09 | $3.12 | +$0.03 | 98% 4498-92 (4590) |
SO
soswald1CTR<$100Invested
$5.38
Value
—
PnL
-$5.38
Record
52%
3858-3579 (7437)
ohioism<$100Invested
$1.22
Value
$5.07
PnL
+$3.85
Record
48%
2440-2688 (5128)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$1.2
Value
—
PnL
-$1.2
Record
49%
1742-1781 (3523)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$1.15
Value
—
PnL
-$1.15
Record
52%
3043-2759 (5802)
HO
hoodquant<$100Invested
$3.09
Value
$3.12
PnL
+$0.03
Record
98%
4498-92 (4590)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x794dba2c...1413f8
Slug
doge-updown-5m-1794763200