Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Back to Markets

Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Dogecoin Up or Down - November 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Resolved Down. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

8

Up 75%

Total Value

$22.7

Combined PnL

-$11.87

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 8 top traders (75%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares176

Combined PnL-$13.17

Down2 traders

Total Value$22.7

Total Shares23

Combined PnL+$1.29

Up — 75%Down — 25%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Upavg 7¢	$1.47	—	-$1.47	48% 2518-2730 (5248)
MayorMamdani<$100	Downavg 93.5¢	$18.71	$20	+$1.29	52% 3043-2759 (5802)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Upavg 3.6¢	$0.43	—	-$0.43	42% 2086-2846 (4932)
ohioismCTR<$100	Upavg 11.5¢	$1.26	—	-$1.26	48% 2440-2688 (5128)
SO soswald1CTR<$100	Upavg 4¢	$0.4	—	-$0.4	52% 3858-3579 (7437)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Upavg 7¢	$0.46	—	-$0.46	48% 2544-2786 (5330)
0X 0x50f7<$100	Downavg 99.9¢	$2.7	$2.7	+$0	53% 1595-1405 (3000)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Upavg 7.9¢	$9.15	—	-$9.15	49% 2495-2563 (5058)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100

Invested

$1.47

Value

—

PnL

-$1.47

Record

48%

2518-2730 (5248)

MayorMamdani<$100

Invested

$18.71

Value

$20

PnL

+$1.29

Record

52%

3043-2759 (5802)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100

Invested

$0.43

Value

—

PnL

-$0.43

Record

42%

2086-2846 (4932)

ohioismCTR<$100

Invested

$1.26

Value

—

PnL

-$1.26

Record

48%

2440-2688 (5128)

soswald1CTR<$100

Invested

$0.4

Value

—

PnL

-$0.4

Record

52%

3858-3579 (7437)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Invested

$0.46

Value

—

PnL

-$0.46

Record

48%

2544-2786 (5330)

Invested

$2.7

Value

$2.7

PnL

+$0

Record

53%

1595-1405 (3000)

uninformedflowwCTR<$100

Invested

$9.15

Value

—

PnL

-$9.15

Record

49%

2495-2563 (5058)

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 8 top traders (75%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x81bf22ca...9eb4a1

Slug

doge-updown-5m-1794761100

Traders in this Market

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $0

MayorMamdani

Down — $20

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $0

ohioism

Up — $0

soswald1

Up — $0

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Up — $0

0x50f7

Down — $2.7

uninformedfloww

Up — $0

Trade on Polymarket