Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Dogecoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Resolved Up. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
7
Down 71%
$106
$84.71
Smart Money Signal
5 of 7 top traders (71%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 G-Penis-Monster | Upavg 8¢ | $8 | $100 | +$92 | 44% 2374-3081 (5455) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Downavg 66¢ | $3.2 | — | -$3.2 | 52% 3806-3541 (7347) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 7¢ | $0.42 | $6 | +$5.58 | 42% 2048-2798 (4846) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 62¢ | $3.1 | — | -$3.1 | 52% 2997-2745 (5742) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 58¢ | $2.76 | — | -$2.76 | 49% 2456-2514 (4970) |
 cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 12.2¢ | $1.97 | — | -$1.97 | 49% 1730-1766 (3496) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 12.3¢ | $1.84 | — | -$1.84 | 48% 2484-2691 (5175) |
G-Penis-MonsterInvested
$8
Value
$100
PnL
+$92
Record
44%
2374-3081 (5455)
Invested
$3.2
Value
—
PnL
-$3.2
Record
52%
3806-3541 (7347)
Invested
$0.42
Value
$6
PnL
+$5.58
Record
42%
2048-2798 (4846)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$3.1
Value
—
PnL
-$3.1
Record
52%
2997-2745 (5742)
Invested
$2.76
Value
—
PnL
-$2.76
Record
49%
2456-2514 (4970)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$1.97
Value
—
PnL
-$1.97
Record
49%
1730-1766 (3496)
Invested
$1.84
Value
—
PnL
-$1.84
Record
48%
2484-2691 (5175)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
G-Penis-Monster
Up — $100
soswald1
CTRDown — $0
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Up — $6
MayorMamdani
CTRDown — $0
uninformedfloww
CTRDown — $0
cryingbabydicer87
CTRDown — $0
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRDown — $0