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cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100UpDown
MayorMamdani<$100DownUpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Dogecoin Up or Down - November 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 60%
Total Value
$45
Combined PnL
$13.54
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares56
Combined PnL-$18.81
Down2 traders
Total Value$45
Total Shares45
Combined PnL+$32.35
Up — 60%Down — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Upavg 24.5¢ | $14.11 | — | -$14.11 | 50% 1714-1745 (3459) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Downavg 19¢ | $4.75 | $25 | +$20.25 | 52% 3756-3495 (7251) |
MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 39.5¢ | $7.9 | $20 | +$12.1 | 52% 2972-2710 (5682) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 5¢ | $0.6 | — | -$0.6 | 48% 2474-2726 (5200) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 82¢ | $4.1 | — | -$4.1 | 49% 2434-2485 (4919) |
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$14.11
Value
—
PnL
-$14.11
Record
50%
1714-1745 (3459)
SO
soswald1<$100Invested
$4.75
Value
$25
PnL
+$20.25
Record
52%
3756-3495 (7251)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$7.9
Value
$20
PnL
+$12.1
Record
52%
2972-2710 (5682)
0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100Invested
$0.6
Value
—
PnL
-$0.6
Record
48%
2474-2726 (5200)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$4.1
Value
—
PnL
-$4.1
Record
49%
2434-2485 (4919)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x1de2f164...556956
Slug
doge-updown-5m-1794746700