Back to Markets
UpDown
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100UpUp
MayorMamdani<$100Down
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Dogecoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 60%
Total Value
$29.31
Combined PnL
-$552.69
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares571
Combined PnL-$553.32
Down2 traders
Total Value$29.31
Total Shares29
Combined PnL+$0.63
Up — 60%Down — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $550 | — | -$550 | 52% 3621-3392 (7013) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $25.69 | $25.95 | +$0.26 | 98% 4086-84 (4170) |
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Upavg 9.6¢ | $2.18 | — | -$2.18 | 50% 1655-1677 (3332) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 15¢ | $1.14 | — | -$1.14 | 50% 3397-3361 (6758) |
MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 89¢ | $2.99 | $3.36 | +$0.37 | 52% 2844-2584 (5428) |
SO
soswald1CTRInvested
$550
Value
—
PnL
-$550
Record
52%
3621-3392 (7013)
HO
hoodquant<$100Invested
$25.69
Value
$25.95
PnL
+$0.26
Record
98%
4086-84 (4170)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$2.18
Value
—
PnL
-$2.18
Record
50%
1655-1677 (3332)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$1.14
Value
—
PnL
-$1.14
Record
50%
3397-3361 (6758)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$2.99
Value
$3.36
PnL
+$0.37
Record
52%
2844-2584 (5428)
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0x521ca3dd...404970
Slug
doge-updown-5m-1794721800