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DownUpDown
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Down
cryingbabydicer87<$100Up
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Dogecoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$21.45
Combined PnL
-$3.09
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares149
Combined PnL-$17.34
Up2 traders
Total Value$21.45
Total Shares21
Combined PnL+$14.25
Down — 60%Up — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 8.9¢ | $15.3 | — | -$15.3 | 49% 2317-2371 (4688) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Upavg 18.8¢ | $6.75 | $20 | +$13.25 | 52% 3474-3256 (6730) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 20¢ | $1.2 | — | -$1.2 | 51% 3248-3166 (6414) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 14¢ | $0.84 | — | -$0.84 | 52% 2738-2492 (5230) |
cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Upavg 31¢ | $0.45 | $1.45 | +$1 | 50% 1577-1608 (3185) |
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$15.3
Value
—
PnL
-$15.3
Record
49%
2317-2371 (4688)
SO
soswald1<$100Invested
$6.75
Value
$20
PnL
+$13.25
Record
52%
3474-3256 (6730)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$1.2
Value
—
PnL
-$1.2
Record
51%
3248-3166 (6414)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.84
Value
—
PnL
-$0.84
Record
52%
2738-2492 (5230)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$0.45
Value
$1.45
PnL
+$1
Record
50%
1577-1608 (3185)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x8ca29262...cd3c4a
Slug
doge-updown-5m-1794698100