Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Dogecoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
7
Down 57%
$38.7
$15.21
Smart Money Signal
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PB PBot-5<$100 | Upavg 33.4¢ | $7.91 | $23.7 | +$15.79 | 48% 1276-1362 (2638) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Upavg 86¢ | $7.74 | $9 | +$1.26 | 52% 3445-3233 (6678) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 30¢ | $1.8 | $6 | +$4.2 | 42% 1711-2331 (4042) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 21¢ | $1.26 | — | -$1.26 | 47% 2202-2452 (4654) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 33¢ | $1.65 | — | -$1.65 | 48% 2164-2388 (4552) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 3¢ | $0.07 | — | -$0.07 | 52% 1406-1302 (2708) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 14.6¢ | $3.06 | — | -$3.06 | 47% 2109-2347 (4456) |
Invested
$7.91
Value
$23.7
PnL
+$15.79
Record
48%
1276-1362 (2638)
Invested
$7.74
Value
$9
PnL
+$1.26
Record
52%
3445-3233 (6678)
Invested
$1.8
Value
$6
PnL
+$4.2
Record
42%
1711-2331 (4042)
Invested
$1.26
Value
—
PnL
-$1.26
Record
47%
2202-2452 (4654)
Invested
$1.65
Value
—
PnL
-$1.65
Record
48%
2164-2388 (4552)
Invested
$0.07
Value
—
PnL
-$0.07
Record
52%
1406-1302 (2708)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$3.06
Value
—
PnL
-$3.06
Record
47%
2109-2347 (4456)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
PBot-5
Up — $23.7
soswald1
Up — $9
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Up — $6
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
CTRDown — $0
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRDown — $0
0x50f7
CTRDown — $0
ohioism
CTRDown — $0