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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Dogecoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

10

Down 60%

Total Value

$734.67

Combined PnL

$184.73

Smart Money Signal

Down

6 of 10 top traders (60%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up4 traders
Total Value$734.67
Total Shares735
Combined PnL+$653.36
Down6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares510
Combined PnL-$468.63
Up — 40%Down — 60%
0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Up

Invested

$75.66

Value

$612

PnL

+$536.34

Record

42%

1711-2331 (4042)

G-Penis-Monster<$100
Up

Invested

$2.18

Value

$55.9

PnL

+$53.72

Record

44%

2109-2719 (4828)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100
Up

Invested

$2.73

Value

$42

PnL

+$39.27

Record

47%

2202-2452 (4654)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100
Up

Invested

$0.74

Value

$24.77

PnL

+$24.03

Record

48%

2164-2388 (4552)

ohioismCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$8.6

Value

—

PnL

-$8.6

Record

47%

2109-2347 (4456)

HO
hoodquantCTR
Down

Invested

$332.72

Value

—

PnL

-$332.72

Record

98%

3813-79 (3892)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$75.67

Value

—

PnL

-$75.67

Record

49%

1554-1593 (3147)

MO
mo-moneyCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$30.4

Value

—

PnL

-$30.4

Record

51%

1429-1393 (2822)

SO
soswald1CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$17.29

Value

—

PnL

-$17.29

Record

52%

3445-3233 (6678)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$3.95

Value

—

PnL

-$3.95

Record

52%

2715-2472 (5187)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0xc4a8e233...cae506
Slug
doge-updown-5m-1794694200

Traders in this Market

0X

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $612

+$536.34

G-Penis-Monster

Up — $55.9

+$53.72
0X

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Up — $42

+$39.27
0X

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $24.77

+$24.03

ohioism

CTR

Down — $0

-$8.6
HO

hoodquant

CTR

Down — $0

-$332.72

cryingbabydicer87

CTR

Down — $0

-$75.67
MO

mo-money

CTR

Down — $0

-$30.4
SO

soswald1

CTR

Down — $0

-$17.29

MayorMamdani

CTR

Down — $0

-$3.95
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