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UpDown
BoneOhioCTR<$100Up
ohioism<$100Down
cryingbabydicer87<$100DownUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Dogecoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 50%
Total Value
$71
Combined PnL
-$25.22
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares168
Combined PnL-$36.2
Down3 traders
Total Value$71
Total Shares71
Combined PnL+$10.98
Up — 50%Down — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 26.5¢ | $27.25 | — | -$27.25 | 42% 1702-2303 (4005) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 86¢ | $30.1 | $35 | +$4.9 | 48% 2150-2369 (4519) |
BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Upavg 14¢ | $7 | — | -$7 | 71% 1607-666 (2273) |
ohioism<$100 | Downavg 87¢ | $14.59 | $15 | +$0.41 | 47% 2089-2333 (4422) |
cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Downavg 73¢ | $15.33 | $21 | +$5.67 | 49% 1545-1582 (3127) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 13¢ | $1.95 | — | -$1.95 | 47% 2188-2425 (4613) |
0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100Invested
$27.25
Value
—
PnL
-$27.25
Record
42%
1702-2303 (4005)
0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100Invested
$30.1
Value
$35
PnL
+$4.9
Record
48%
2150-2369 (4519)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$7
Value
—
PnL
-$7
Record
71%
1607-666 (2273)
ohioism<$100Invested
$14.59
Value
$15
PnL
+$0.41
Record
47%
2089-2333 (4422)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$15.33
Value
$21
PnL
+$5.67
Record
49%
1545-1582 (3127)
0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100Invested
$1.95
Value
—
PnL
-$1.95
Record
47%
2188-2425 (4613)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xb8783b8f...a66887
Slug
doge-updown-5m-1794690900