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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Dogecoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Resolved Up. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

8

Down 63%

Total Value

$68.2

Combined PnL

-$516.95

Smart Money Signal

Down

5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares571

Combined PnL-$538.13

Up3 traders

Total Value$68.2

Total Shares68

Combined PnL+$21.18

Down — 63%Up — 37%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
SO soswald1CTR	Downavg 50¢	$550	—	-$529.27	51% 3318-3179 (6497)
UN uninformedfloww<$100	Upavg 50.2¢	$29.61	$51.2	+$21.59	50% 2231-2229 (4460)
HO hoodquant<$100	Upavg 98¢	$11.76	$12	+$0.24	98% 3651-75 (3726)
MayorMamdani<$100	Upavg 63¢	$5.65	$5	-$0.65	52% 2630-2425 (5055)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100	Downavg 29.8¢	$5.67	—	-$5.67	49% 1497-1559 (3056)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Downavg 47¢	$2.94	—	-$2.94	51% 3103-3041 (6144)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Downavg 1¢	$0.05	—	-$0.05	44% 2041-2641 (4682)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Downavg 4¢	$0.2	—	-$0.2	47% 2135-2370 (4505)

Invested

$550

Value

—

PnL

-$529.27

Record

51%

3318-3179 (6497)

uninformedfloww<$100

Invested

$29.61

Value

$51.2

PnL

+$21.59

Record

50%

2231-2229 (4460)

Invested

$11.76

Value

$12

PnL

+$0.24

Record

98%

3651-75 (3726)

MayorMamdani<$100

Invested

$5.65

Value

$5

PnL

-$0.65

Record

52%

2630-2425 (5055)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100

Invested

$5.67

Value

—

PnL

-$5.67

Record

49%

1497-1559 (3056)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100

Invested

$2.94

Value

—

PnL

-$2.94

Record

51%

3103-3041 (6144)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100

Invested

$0.05

Value

—

PnL

-$0.05

Record

44%

2041-2641 (4682)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Invested

$0.2

Value

—

PnL

-$0.2

Record

47%

2135-2370 (4505)

Smart Money Signal

Down

5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xb91c6177...d71aca

Slug

doge-updown-5m-1794679800

Traders in this Market

soswald1

Down — $0

uninformedfloww

Up — $51.2

hoodquant

Up — $12

MayorMamdani

Up — $5

cryingbabydicer87

Down — $0

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $0

G-Penis-Monster

Down — $0

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $0

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