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UpDown
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100DownDownUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Dogecoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$39
Combined PnL
-$6.66
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$39
Total Shares39
Combined PnL+$2.65
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares23
Combined PnL-$9.31
Up — 40%Down — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1<$100 | Upavg 92.6¢ | $33.9 | $34 | +$0.1 | 51% 3318-3179 (6497) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 54¢ | $5.4 | — | -$5.4 | 50% 2231-2229 (4460) |
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 19¢ | $1.33 | — | -$1.33 | 49% 1497-1559 (3056) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Downavg 43¢ | $2.58 | — | -$2.58 | 42% 1643-2244 (3887) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $2.45 | $5 | +$2.55 | 51% 3103-3041 (6144) |
SO
soswald1<$100Invested
$33.9
Value
$34
PnL
+$0.1
Record
51%
3318-3179 (6497)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$5.4
Value
—
PnL
-$5.4
Record
50%
2231-2229 (4460)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$1.33
Value
—
PnL
-$1.33
Record
49%
1497-1559 (3056)
0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100Invested
$2.58
Value
—
PnL
-$2.58
Record
42%
1643-2244 (3887)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100Invested
$2.45
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.55
Record
51%
3103-3041 (6144)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xdb13942e...d17f75
Slug
doge-updown-5m-1794679500