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UpDown
MayorMamdani<$100Down
ohioism<$100Down
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100UpUp
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Dogecoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$547.15
Combined PnL
-$0.98
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$17.15
Total Shares17
Combined PnL+$7.12
Up2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares24
Combined PnL-$8.1
Down — 60%Up — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1ARB<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $550 | $530 | +$1.94 | 51% 3318-3179 (6497) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $265.5 | — | -$266.71 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $265 | $530 | +$268.65 | |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 33¢ | $3.78 | $6 | +$2.22 | 51% 3103-3041 (6144) |
MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 72.4¢ | $4.45 | $6.15 | +$1.7 | 52% 2630-2425 (5055) |
ohioism<$100 | Downavg 36¢ | $1.8 | $5 | +$3.2 | 47% 2042-2277 (4319) |
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Upavg 39¢ | $1.95 | — | -$1.95 | 49% 1497-1559 (3056) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 32.4¢ | $6.15 | — | -$6.15 | 50% 2231-2229 (4460) |
SO
soswald1ARB<$100Invested
$550
Value
$530
PnL
+$1.94
Record
51%
3318-3179 (6497)
Both legs:
Up$265.550¢-$266.71
Down$26550¢+$268.65
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100Invested
$3.78
Value
$6
PnL
+$2.22
Record
51%
3103-3041 (6144)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$4.45
Value
$6.15
PnL
+$1.7
Record
52%
2630-2425 (5055)
ohioism<$100Invested
$1.8
Value
$5
PnL
+$3.2
Record
47%
2042-2277 (4319)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$1.95
Value
—
PnL
-$1.95
Record
49%
1497-1559 (3056)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$6.15
Value
—
PnL
-$6.15
Record
50%
2231-2229 (4460)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xc08c7e92...bf9683
Slug
doge-updown-5m-1794679200