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UpDown
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Up
cryingbabydicer87<$100DownUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Dogecoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 60%
Total Value
$17.68
Combined PnL
-$534.66
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares560
Combined PnL-$536.4
Down2 traders
Total Value$17.68
Total Shares18
Combined PnL+$1.74
Up — 60%Down — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $550 | — | -$536.04 | 51% 3198-3088 (6286) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Downavg 86¢ | $10.32 | $12 | +$1.68 | 42% 1545-2147 (3692) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 2.5¢ | $0.25 | — | -$0.25 | 52% 2516-2359 (4875) |
cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $5.62 | $5.68 | +$0.06 | 48% 1402-1515 (2917) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $0.11 | — | -$0.11 | 51% 1328-1257 (2585) |
SO
soswald1CTRInvested
$550
Value
—
PnL
-$536.04
Record
51%
3198-3088 (6286)
0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100Invested
$10.32
Value
$12
PnL
+$1.68
Record
42%
1545-2147 (3692)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.25
Value
—
PnL
-$0.25
Record
52%
2516-2359 (4875)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$5.62
Value
$5.68
PnL
+$0.06
Record
48%
1402-1515 (2917)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$0.11
Value
—
PnL
-$0.11
Record
51%
1328-1257 (2585)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x8ff698c2...63d3ce
Slug
doge-updown-5m-1794666600