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UpUpDown
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100UpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Dogecoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 80%
Total Value
$8.36
Combined PnL
-$553.34
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares582
Combined PnL-$553.43
Down1 trader
Total Value$8.36
Total Shares8
Combined PnL+$0.08
Up — 80%Down — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $550 | — | -$547.11 | 51% 3198-3088 (6286) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 22¢ | $4.4 | — | -$4.4 | 50% 2139-2136 (4275) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $8.28 | $8.36 | +$0.08 | 51% 1328-1257 (2585) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 14.7¢ | $0.9 | — | -$0.9 | 52% 2516-2359 (4875) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 17¢ | $1.02 | — | -$1.02 | 42% 1545-2147 (3692) |
SO
soswald1CTRInvested
$550
Value
—
PnL
-$547.11
Record
51%
3198-3088 (6286)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$4.4
Value
—
PnL
-$4.4
Record
50%
2139-2136 (4275)
0X
0x50f7<$100Invested
$8.28
Value
$8.36
PnL
+$0.08
Record
51%
1328-1257 (2585)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.9
Value
—
PnL
-$0.9
Record
52%
2516-2359 (4875)
0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100Invested
$1.02
Value
—
PnL
-$1.02
Record
42%
1545-2147 (3692)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x7d805df8...622d81
Slug
doge-updown-5m-1794666000