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UpDown
cryingbabydicer87<$100DownDownDown
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Up
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Dogecoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
Resolved Down. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 33%
Total Value
$30
Combined PnL
-$537.47
Smart Money Signal
Up
2 of 6 top traders (33%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares557
Combined PnL-$539.57
Down4 traders
Total Value$30
Total Shares30
Combined PnL+$2.1
Up — 33%Down — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $550 | — | -$539.32 | 51% 3170-3070 (6240) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 80¢ | $7 | $5 | -$2 | 50% 2996-2942 (5938) |
cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Downavg 92.5¢ | $9.9 | $10 | +$0.1 | 48% 1394-1507 (2901) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $9.8 | $10 | +$0.2 | 98% 3425-72 (3497) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 24¢ | $1.2 | $5 | +$3.8 | 47% 1973-2229 (4202) |
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 2.5¢ | $0.25 | — | -$0.25 | 44% 1940-2509 (4449) |
SO
soswald1CTRInvested
$550
Value
—
PnL
-$539.32
Record
51%
3170-3070 (6240)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100Invested
$7
Value
$5
PnL
-$2
Record
50%
2996-2942 (5938)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$9.9
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.1
Record
48%
1394-1507 (2901)
HO
hoodquant<$100Invested
$9.8
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.2
Record
98%
3425-72 (3497)
0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100Invested
$1.2
Value
$5
PnL
+$3.8
Record
47%
1973-2229 (4202)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$0.25
Value
—
PnL
-$0.25
Record
44%
1940-2509 (4449)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xf306035a...757e6c
Slug
doge-updown-5m-1794662400