Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Dogecoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
7
Down 57%
$208.26
-$514.35
Smart Money Signal
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1CTR | Downavg 50¢ | $550 | — | -$522.22 | 51% 3170-3070 (6240) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $94.05 | $95 | +$0.95 | 98% 3425-72 (3497) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710 | Upavg 30.8¢ | $33.34 | $108.26 | +$74.92 | 42% 1520-2127 (3647) |
 cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 69.3¢ | $57.02 | — | -$57.02 | 48% 1394-1507 (2901) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 20.3¢ | $1.62 | — | -$1.62 | 50% 2996-2942 (5938) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 81¢ | $6.36 | $5 | -$1.36 | 52% 2502-2335 (4837) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 22.6¢ | $8 | — | -$8 | 50% 2116-2116 (4232) |
Invested
$550
Value
—
PnL
-$522.22
Record
51%
3170-3070 (6240)
Invested
$94.05
Value
$95
PnL
+$0.95
Record
98%
3425-72 (3497)
Invested
$33.34
Value
$108.26
PnL
+$74.92
Record
42%
1520-2127 (3647)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$57.02
Value
—
PnL
-$57.02
Record
48%
1394-1507 (2901)
Invested
$1.62
Value
—
PnL
-$1.62
Record
50%
2996-2942 (5938)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$6.36
Value
$5
PnL
-$1.36
Record
52%
2502-2335 (4837)
Invested
$8
Value
—
PnL
-$8
Record
50%
2116-2116 (4232)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
soswald1
CTRDown — $0
hoodquant
Up — $95
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Up — $108.26
cryingbabydicer87
CTRDown — $0
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
CTRDown — $0
MayorMamdani
Up — $5
uninformedfloww
CTRDown — $0