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MayorMamdaniCTR<$100DownDownDown
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100DownUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Dogecoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
Resolved Up. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 80%
Total Value
$2.77
Combined PnL
-$11.91
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares32
Combined PnL-$11.97
Up1 trader
Total Value$2.77
Total Shares3
Combined PnL+$0.06
Down — 80%Up — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 11¢ | $1.65 | — | -$1.65 | 52% 2466-2274 (4740) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Downavg 74¢ | $5.3 | — | -$5.3 | 51% 3113-3000 (6113) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 56¢ | $4.51 | — | -$4.51 | 50% 2066-2059 (4125) |
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 12¢ | $0.5 | — | -$0.5 | 48% 1372-1476 (2848) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $2.71 | $2.77 | +$0.06 | 98% 3348-72 (3420) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$1.65
Value
—
PnL
-$1.65
Record
52%
2466-2274 (4740)
SO
soswald1CTR<$100Invested
$5.3
Value
—
PnL
-$5.3
Record
51%
3113-3000 (6113)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$4.51
Value
—
PnL
-$4.51
Record
50%
2066-2059 (4125)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$0.5
Value
—
PnL
-$0.5
Record
48%
1372-1476 (2848)
HO
hoodquant<$100Invested
$2.71
Value
$2.77
PnL
+$0.06
Record
98%
3348-72 (3420)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x2bf23d99...b2a6d0
Slug
doge-updown-5m-1794651300