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UpDown
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Up
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100UpUp
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Dogecoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
Resolved Down. 25% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
4
Down 25%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$774.79
Combined PnL
$76.66
Smart Money Signal
Down
1 of 4 top traders (25%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down1 trader
Total Value$229.79
Total Shares230
Combined PnL+$99.13
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares121
Combined PnL-$22.46
Down — 25%Up — 75%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1ARB<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $550 | $545 | -$2.06 | 51% 3113-3000 (6113) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $273.93 | — | -$274.61 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $272.5 | $545 | +$272.55 | |
SU suntori | Downavg 56.9¢ | $130.66 | $229.79 | +$99.13 | 46% 2546-3015 (5561) |
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Upavg 33.9¢ | $16.61 | — | -$16.61 | 48% 1372-1476 (2848) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 31.2¢ | $3.43 | — | -$3.43 | 52% 2466-2274 (4740) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 4¢ | $2.43 | — | -$2.43 | 51% 1292-1224 (2516) |
SO
soswald1ARB<$100Invested
$550
Value
$545
PnL
-$2.06
Record
51%
3113-3000 (6113)
Both legs:
Up$273.9350¢-$274.61
Down$272.550¢+$272.55
SU
suntoriInvested
$130.66
Value
$229.79
PnL
+$99.13
Record
46%
2546-3015 (5561)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$16.61
Value
—
PnL
-$16.61
Record
48%
1372-1476 (2848)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$3.43
Value
—
PnL
-$3.43
Record
52%
2466-2274 (4740)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$2.43
Value
—
PnL
-$2.43
Record
51%
1292-1224 (2516)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x72b055e7...d670a1
Slug
doge-updown-5m-1794650100