Back to Markets
DownDown
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Up
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100UpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Dogecoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 60%
Total Value
$25
Combined PnL
-$1.93
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down2 traders
Total Value$25
Total Shares25
Combined PnL-$0.36
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares13
Combined PnL-$1.57
Down — 40%Up — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1<$100 | Downavg 92.5¢ | $20.21 | $20 | -$0.21 | 51% 3088-2980 (6068) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 78¢ | $5.15 | $5 | -$0.15 | 50% 2065-2056 (4121) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 5¢ | $0.29 | — | -$0.29 | 52% 2446-2260 (4706) |
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Upavg 24¢ | $1.2 | — | -$1.2 | 48% 1366-1467 (2833) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 4¢ | $0.08 | — | -$0.08 | 41% 1439-2039 (3478) |
SO
soswald1<$100Invested
$20.21
Value
$20
PnL
-$0.21
Record
51%
3088-2980 (6068)
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$5.15
Value
$5
PnL
-$0.15
Record
50%
2065-2056 (4121)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.29
Value
—
PnL
-$0.29
Record
52%
2446-2260 (4706)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$1.2
Value
—
PnL
-$1.2
Record
48%
1366-1467 (2833)
0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100Invested
$0.08
Value
—
PnL
-$0.08
Record
41%
1439-2039 (3478)
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0x29652f71...8d5424
Slug
doge-updown-5m-1794648000