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Down
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Up
MayorMamdani<$100Down
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100UpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Dogecoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 60%
Total Value
$42.85
Combined PnL
$13.29
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down2 traders
Total Value$42.85
Total Shares43
Combined PnL+$23.37
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares24
Combined PnL-$10.09
Down — 40%Up — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1<$100 | Downavg 28.4¢ | $17.38 | $35.11 | +$17.73 | 51% 3088-2980 (6068) |
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Upavg 12.4¢ | $3.54 | — | -$3.54 | 48% 1366-1467 (2833) |
MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 27.1¢ | $2.1 | $7.74 | +$5.64 | 52% 2446-2260 (4706) |
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 57¢ | $2.85 | — | -$2.85 | 44% 1886-2437 (4323) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 74¢ | $3.7 | — | -$3.7 | 50% 2065-2056 (4121) |
SO
soswald1<$100Invested
$17.38
Value
$35.11
PnL
+$17.73
Record
51%
3088-2980 (6068)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$3.54
Value
—
PnL
-$3.54
Record
48%
1366-1467 (2833)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$2.1
Value
$7.74
PnL
+$5.64
Record
52%
2446-2260 (4706)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$2.85
Value
—
PnL
-$2.85
Record
44%
1886-2437 (4323)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$3.7
Value
—
PnL
-$3.7
Record
50%
2065-2056 (4121)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xb0889150...fe75e6
Slug
doge-updown-5m-1794647400