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DownUp
ohioism<$100Up
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100DownUp
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Down
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Dogecoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 50%
Total Value
$164.04
Combined PnL
-$507.36
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares549
Combined PnL-$515.36
Up3 traders
Total Value$164.04
Total Shares164
Combined PnL+$8.01
Down — 50%Up — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1CTR | Downavg 50¢ | $550 | — | -$511.65 | 51% 3061-2966 (6027) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710 | Upavg 95¢ | $121.51 | $107.91 | +$4 | 41% 1415-2011 (3426) |
ohioism<$100 | Upavg 95¢ | $47.5 | $50 | +$2.5 | 48% 1893-2072 (3965) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 11.1¢ | $2.1 | — | -$2.1 | 52% 2431-2242 (4673) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 75.4¢ | $4.62 | $6.13 | +$1.51 | 51% 2884-2810 (5694) |
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 13.4¢ | $1.61 | — | -$1.61 | 48% 1360-1458 (2818) |
SO
soswald1CTRInvested
$550
Value
—
PnL
-$511.65
Record
51%
3061-2966 (6027)
0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710Invested
$121.51
Value
$107.91
PnL
+$4
Record
41%
1415-2011 (3426)
ohioism<$100Invested
$47.5
Value
$50
PnL
+$2.5
Record
48%
1893-2072 (3965)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$2.1
Value
—
PnL
-$2.1
Record
52%
2431-2242 (4673)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100Invested
$4.62
Value
$6.13
PnL
+$1.51
Record
51%
2884-2810 (5694)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$1.61
Value
—
PnL
-$1.61
Record
48%
1360-1458 (2818)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xfcf24530...307636
Slug
doge-updown-5m-1794642900