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UpUp
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100DownUpUp
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Down
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Dogecoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Up 60%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$557.98
Combined PnL
$2.69
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 5 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$13.98
Total Shares14
Combined PnL+$5.24
Down2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares11
Combined PnL-$2.55
Up — 60%Down — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1ARB<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $550 | $544 | -$2.72 | 51% 3014-2926 (5940) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $272 | $544 | +$271.28 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $268.13 | — | -$274 | |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 75¢ | $4.5 | $6 | +$1.5 | 51% 2841-2744 (5585) |
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 24.7¢ | $2.51 | — | -$2.51 | 48% 1344-1445 (2789) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 38¢ | $2.28 | $6 | +$3.72 | 41% 1381-1964 (3345) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $1.96 | $1.98 | +$0.02 | 98% 3197-68 (3265) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 2¢ | $0.04 | — | -$0.04 | 52% 2405-2202 (4607) |
SO
soswald1ARB<$100Invested
$550
Value
$544
PnL
-$2.72
Record
51%
3014-2926 (5940)
Both legs:
Up$27250¢+$271.28
Down$268.1350¢-$274
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100Invested
$4.5
Value
$6
PnL
+$1.5
Record
51%
2841-2744 (5585)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$2.51
Value
—
PnL
-$2.51
Record
48%
1344-1445 (2789)
0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100Invested
$2.28
Value
$6
PnL
+$3.72
Record
41%
1381-1964 (3345)
HO
hoodquant<$100Invested
$1.96
Value
$1.98
PnL
+$0.02
Record
98%
3197-68 (3265)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.04
Value
—
PnL
-$0.04
Record
52%
2405-2202 (4607)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xa5db8f4a...23911e
Slug
doge-updown-5m-1794635400