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UpDown
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Up
cryingbabydicer87<$100DownDownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Dogecoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Resolved Down. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 33%
Total Value
$54.5
Combined PnL
-$538.6
Smart Money Signal
Up
2 of 6 top traders (33%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares565
Combined PnL-$551.15
Down4 traders
Total Value$54.5
Total Shares54
Combined PnL+$12.55
Up — 33%Down — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $550 | — | -$541.6 | 51% 2266-2202 (4468) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 82.2¢ | $30.58 | $23.79 | -$6.79 | 50% 1445-1426 (2871) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 33.3¢ | $9.55 | — | -$9.55 | 52% 1810-1682 (3492) |
cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Downavg 23.5¢ | $3.29 | $14 | +$10.71 | 47% 975-1099 (2074) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 34¢ | $2.28 | $6.71 | +$4.43 | 50% 1977-1974 (3951) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 58¢ | $5.8 | $10 | +$4.2 | 55% 1432-1173 (2605) |
SO
soswald1CTRInvested
$550
Value
—
PnL
-$541.6
Record
51%
2266-2202 (4468)
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$30.58
Value
$23.79
PnL
-$6.79
Record
50%
1445-1426 (2871)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$9.55
Value
—
PnL
-$9.55
Record
52%
1810-1682 (3492)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$3.29
Value
$14
PnL
+$10.71
Record
47%
975-1099 (2074)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100Invested
$2.28
Value
$6.71
PnL
+$4.43
Record
50%
1977-1974 (3951)
KA
Kathod-Shi-14<$100Invested
$5.8
Value
$10
PnL
+$4.2
Record
55%
1432-1173 (2605)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x1e889e72...c575f6
Slug
doge-updown-5m-1794522600