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Up
ohioismCTR<$100UpDown
MayorMamdani<$100DownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Dogecoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
Resolved Down. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 40%
Total Value
$10.63
Combined PnL
-$544.27
Smart Money Signal
Up
2 of 5 top traders (40%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares565
Combined PnL-$548.85
Down3 traders
Total Value$10.63
Total Shares11
Combined PnL+$4.58
Up — 40%Down — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $550 | — | -$546.45 | 51% 2266-2202 (4468) |
ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 16¢ | $2.4 | — | -$2.4 | 48% 1361-1500 (2861) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 70¢ | $3.55 | $5.07 | +$1.52 | 55% 1432-1173 (2605) |
MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 44¢ | $1.01 | $2.07 | +$1.06 | 52% 1810-1682 (3492) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 42.6¢ | $1.48 | $3.48 | +$2 | 50% 1445-1426 (2871) |
SO
soswald1CTRInvested
$550
Value
—
PnL
-$546.45
Record
51%
2266-2202 (4468)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$2.4
Value
—
PnL
-$2.4
Record
48%
1361-1500 (2861)
KA
Kathod-Shi-14<$100Invested
$3.55
Value
$5.07
PnL
+$1.52
Record
55%
1432-1173 (2605)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$1.01
Value
$2.07
PnL
+$1.06
Record
52%
1810-1682 (3492)
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$1.48
Value
$3.48
PnL
+$2
Record
50%
1445-1426 (2871)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x4e6d3f1a...d424bc
Slug
doge-updown-5m-1794521100