Back to Markets
UpDownDown
BoneOhio<$100Up
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Down
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Dogecoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$17.88
Combined PnL
-$6.63
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$17.88
Total Shares18
Combined PnL-$5.02
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares20
Combined PnL-$1.61
Up — 40%Down — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1<$100 | Upavg 88.9¢ | $17.34 | $12.27 | -$5.07 | 51% 2178-2103 (4281) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 11.3¢ | $0.89 | — | -$0.89 | 51% 1376-1320 (2696) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 2.5¢ | $0.17 | — | -$0.17 | 49% 903-945 (1848) |
BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $5.55 | $5.61 | +$0.06 | 74% 1071-381 (1452) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 11¢ | $0.55 | — | -$0.55 | 52% 1755-1602 (3357) |
SO
soswald1<$100Invested
$17.34
Value
$12.27
PnL
-$5.07
Record
51%
2178-2103 (4281)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$0.89
Value
—
PnL
-$0.89
Record
51%
1376-1320 (2696)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$0.17
Value
—
PnL
-$0.17
Record
49%
903-945 (1848)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$5.55
Value
$5.61
PnL
+$0.06
Record
74%
1071-381 (1452)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.55
Value
—
PnL
-$0.55
Record
52%
1755-1602 (3357)
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0x2082e2d3...7d87e9
Slug
doge-updown-5m-1794507900