Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Dogecoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
Resolved Up. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
7
Down 71%
$12.27
-$10.64
Smart Money Signal
5 of 7 top traders (71%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 20.5¢ | $3.94 | — | -$3.94 | 50% 1859-1828 (3687) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $13.48 | — | -$13.48 | 55% 1366-1134 (2500) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 9.8¢ | $1.4 | — | -$1.4 | 52% 1755-1602 (3357) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 10¢ | $1.3 | — | -$1.3 | 44% 1316-1666 (2982) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Upavg 20¢ | $1.23 | $6.17 | +$4.94 | 51% 2178-2103 (4281) |
 cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Upavg 18¢ | $1.1 | $6.1 | +$5 | 47% 935-1043 (1978) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 9¢ | $0.45 | — | -$0.45 | 46% 1298-1506 (2804) |
Invested
$3.94
Value
—
PnL
-$3.94
Record
50%
1859-1828 (3687)
Invested
$13.48
Value
—
PnL
-$13.48
Record
55%
1366-1134 (2500)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$1.4
Value
—
PnL
-$1.4
Record
52%
1755-1602 (3357)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$1.3
Value
—
PnL
-$1.3
Record
44%
1316-1666 (2982)
Invested
$1.23
Value
$6.17
PnL
+$4.94
Record
51%
2178-2103 (4281)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$1.1
Value
$6.1
PnL
+$5
Record
47%
935-1043 (1978)
Invested
$0.45
Value
—
PnL
-$0.45
Record
46%
1298-1506 (2804)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
CTRDown — $0
Kathod-Shi-14
CTRDown — $0
MayorMamdani
CTRDown — $0
G-Penis-Monster
CTRDown — $0
soswald1
Up — $6.17
cryingbabydicer87
Up — $6.1
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRDown — $0