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cryingbabydicer87<$100DownDown
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100UpUp
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Up
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Dogecoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 60%
Total Value
$35.54
Combined PnL
$14.35
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down2 traders
Total Value$35.54
Total Shares36
Combined PnL+$20.75
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares30
Combined PnL-$6.4
Down — 40%Up — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Downavg 27.2¢ | $12.2 | $29 | +$16.8 | 47% 870-993 (1863) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Downavg 39.6¢ | $2.59 | $6.54 | +$3.95 | 51% 2068-2013 (4081) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 21¢ | $2.2 | — | -$2.2 | 52% 1676-1557 (3233) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 21¢ | $2.1 | — | -$2.1 | 46% 1227-1428 (2655) |
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 21¢ | $2.1 | — | -$2.1 | 44% 1249-1571 (2820) |
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$12.2
Value
$29
PnL
+$16.8
Record
47%
870-993 (1863)
SO
soswald1<$100Invested
$2.59
Value
$6.54
PnL
+$3.95
Record
51%
2068-2013 (4081)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$2.2
Value
—
PnL
-$2.2
Record
52%
1676-1557 (3233)
0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100Invested
$2.1
Value
—
PnL
-$2.1
Record
46%
1227-1428 (2655)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$2.1
Value
—
PnL
-$2.1
Record
44%
1249-1571 (2820)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x5661ab29...bd5f54
Slug
doge-updown-5m-1794490800