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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Dogecoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

10

Up 50%

Total Value

$64.1

Combined PnL

-$358.22

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 10 top traders (50%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares519
Combined PnL-$364.58
Down5 traders
Total Value$64.1
Total Shares64
Combined PnL+$6.37
Up — 50%Down — 50%
SO
soswald1CTR
Up

Invested

$350

Value

—

PnL

-$350

Record

—

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100
Down

Invested

$37.8

Value

$40

PnL

+$2.2

Record

37%

598-1014 (1612)

cryingbabydicer87<$100
Down

Invested

$7.98

Value

$10.1

PnL

+$2.12

Record

47%

809-896 (1705)

MayorMamdani<$100
Down

Invested

$4.75

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.25

Record

52%

1537-1447 (2984)

ohioism<$100
Down

Invested

$4.5

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.5

Record

49%

1222-1296 (2518)

UN
uninformedfloww<$100
Down

Invested

$2.71

Value

$4

PnL

+$1.29

Record

51%

1179-1131 (2310)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$10.7

Value

—

PnL

-$10.7

Record

44%

1205-1516 (2721)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.88

Value

—

PnL

-$0.88

Record

47%

1241-1387 (2628)

KA
Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$2.15

Value

—

PnL

-$2.15

Record

55%

1235-1011 (2246)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.85

Value

—

PnL

-$0.85

Record

46%

1190-1388 (2578)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0xe63b68c2...18b593
Slug
doge-updown-5m-1794483300

Traders in this Market

SO

soswald1

CTR

Up — $0

-$350
0X

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down — $40

+$2.2

cryingbabydicer87

Down — $10.1

+$2.12

MayorMamdani

Down — $5

+$0.25

ohioism

Down — $5

+$0.5
UN

uninformedfloww

Down — $4

+$1.29

G-Penis-Monster

CTR

Up — $0

-$10.7
0X

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

CTR

Up — $0

-$0.88
KA

Kathod-Shi-14

CTR

Up — $0

-$2.15
0X

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

CTR

Up — $0

-$0.85
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