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DownUp
cryingbabydicer87<$100Down
ohioismCTR<$100Up
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Up
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Dogecoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 60%
Total Value
$35
Combined PnL
-$11.58
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down2 traders
Total Value$35
Total Shares35
Combined PnL+$5.86
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares27
Combined PnL-$17.44
Down — 40%Up — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 48.6¢ | $25.99 | $28 | +$2.01 | 50% 1101-1104 (2205) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 80¢ | $8 | — | -$8 | 55% 1208-984 (2192) |
cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Downavg 45¢ | $3.15 | $7 | +$3.85 | 47% 783-880 (1663) |
ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 54¢ | $3.24 | — | -$3.24 | 48% 1183-1263 (2446) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 54.9¢ | $6.2 | — | -$6.2 | 51% 1494-1420 (2914) |
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$25.99
Value
$28
PnL
+$2.01
Record
50%
1101-1104 (2205)
KA
Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100Invested
$8
Value
—
PnL
-$8
Record
55%
1208-984 (2192)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$3.15
Value
$7
PnL
+$3.85
Record
47%
783-880 (1663)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$3.24
Value
—
PnL
-$3.24
Record
48%
1183-1263 (2446)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$6.2
Value
—
PnL
-$6.2
Record
51%
1494-1420 (2914)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x87c031ae...45a634
Slug
doge-updown-5m-1794479100