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DownUp
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Up
ohioismCTR<$100Up
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Up
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Up
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Dogecoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
Resolved Down. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 83%
Total Value
$52.3
Combined PnL
-$22.45
Smart Money Signal
Up
5 of 6 top traders (83%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down1 trader
Total Value$52.3
Total Shares52
Combined PnL+$7.4
Up5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares130
Combined PnL-$29.85
Down — 17%Up — 83%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 85.9¢ | $44.9 | $52.3 | +$7.4 | 50% 1101-1104 (2205) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 58¢ | $23.25 | — | -$23.25 | 55% 1208-984 (2192) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 6.7¢ | $1.53 | — | -$1.53 | 51% 1494-1420 (2914) |
ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 6¢ | $1.26 | — | -$1.26 | 48% 1183-1263 (2446) |
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Upavg 6¢ | $0.42 | — | -$0.42 | 47% 783-880 (1663) |
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 8.7¢ | $3.39 | — | -$3.39 | 44% 1174-1476 (2650) |
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$44.9
Value
$52.3
PnL
+$7.4
Record
50%
1101-1104 (2205)
KA
Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100Invested
$23.25
Value
—
PnL
-$23.25
Record
55%
1208-984 (2192)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$1.53
Value
—
PnL
-$1.53
Record
51%
1494-1420 (2914)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$1.26
Value
—
PnL
-$1.26
Record
48%
1183-1263 (2446)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$0.42
Value
—
PnL
-$0.42
Record
47%
783-880 (1663)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$3.39
Value
—
PnL
-$3.39
Record
44%
1174-1476 (2650)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xffa01a38...9119b1
Slug
doge-updown-5m-1794477000