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Up
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100DownUp
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Down
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Down
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Dogecoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$109.2
Combined PnL
$16.57
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$109.2
Total Shares109
Combined PnL+$30.12
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares79
Combined PnL-$13.54
Up — 40%Down — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 73.9¢ | $73.28 | $99.2 | +$25.92 | 50% 1050-1060 (2110) |
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 17¢ | $6.47 | — | -$6.47 | 47% 771-864 (1635) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 58¢ | $5.8 | $10 | +$4.2 | 55% 1173-958 (2131) |
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 7¢ | $0.35 | — | -$0.35 | 44% 1135-1448 (2583) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 18.9¢ | $6.72 | — | -$6.72 | 51% 1455-1384 (2839) |
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$73.28
Value
$99.2
PnL
+$25.92
Record
50%
1050-1060 (2110)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$6.47
Value
—
PnL
-$6.47
Record
47%
771-864 (1635)
KA
Kathod-Shi-14<$100Invested
$5.8
Value
$10
PnL
+$4.2
Record
55%
1173-958 (2131)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$0.35
Value
—
PnL
-$0.35
Record
44%
1135-1448 (2583)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$6.72
Value
—
PnL
-$6.72
Record
51%
1455-1384 (2839)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x0d32f58d...55e6ff
Slug
doge-updown-5m-1794470100