Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Down β but Up won instead.

Dogecoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
Resolved Up. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
7
Down 43%
$56.17
-$102.51
Smart Money Signal
3 of 7 top traders (43%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR | Downavg 40.2Β’ | $120.52 | β | -$120.52 | 38% 468-754 (1222) |
BO bosona<$100 | Upavg 57Β’ | $22.8 | $40 | +$17.2 | 50% 3891-3897 (7788) |
![]() cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 32Β’ | $5.42 | β | -$5.42 | 50% 149-151 (300) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 19Β’ | $1.14 | $6 | +$4.86 | 46% 569-681 (1250) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 60Β’ | $3.1 | $5.17 | +$2.07 | β |
F8 0xf8af...54c6<$100 | Upavg 62Β’ | $3.1 | $5 | +$1.9 | 52% 725-659 (1384) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 52Β’ | $2.6 | β | -$2.6 | 49% 786-802 (1588) |
Invested
$120.52
Value
β
PnL
-$120.52
Record
38%
468-754 (1222)
Invested
$22.8
Value
$40
PnL
+$17.2
Record
50%
3891-3897 (7788)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$5.42
Value
β
PnL
-$5.42
Record
50%
149-151 (300)
Invested
$1.14
Value
$6
PnL
+$4.86
Record
46%
569-681 (1250)
Invested
$3.1
Value
$5.17
PnL
+$2.07
Record
β
Invested
$3.1
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.9
Record
52%
725-659 (1384)
Invested
$2.6
Value
β
PnL
-$2.6
Record
49%
786-802 (1588)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
CTRDown β $0
bosona
Up β $40

cryingbabydicer87
CTRDown β $0
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Up β $6
Kathod-Shi-14
Up β $5.17
0xf8af...54c6
Up β $5
uninformedfloww
CTRDown β $0