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UpDownUpUpDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Dogecoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 60%
Total Value
$35.06
Combined PnL
-$0.05
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares59
Combined PnL-$3.92
Down2 traders
Total Value$35.06
Total Shares35
Combined PnL+$3.86
Up — 60%Down — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.44 | — | -$0.44 | 47% 619-701 (1320) |
1B 0x1b41...0b56<$100 | Downavg 87.6¢ | $26.35 | $30.06 | +$3.71 | — |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 21¢ | $2.11 | — | -$2.11 | 49% 767-785 (1552) |
5E 0x5e8e...8212CTR<$100 | Upavg 26¢ | $1.36 | — | -$1.36 | — |
F8 0xf8af...54c6<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $4.85 | $5 | +$0.15 | — |
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$0.44
Value
—
PnL
-$0.44
Record
47%
619-701 (1320)
1B
0x1b41...0b56<$100Invested
$26.35
Value
$30.06
PnL
+$3.71
Record
—
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$2.11
Value
—
PnL
-$2.11
Record
49%
767-785 (1552)
5E
0x5e8e...8212CTR<$100Invested
$1.36
Value
—
PnL
-$1.36
Record
—
F8
0xf8af...54c6<$100Invested
$4.85
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.15
Record
—
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9fa20c5f...387384
Slug
doge-updown-5m-1794450000