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Down
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100DownDown
UpandDownSyndrome<$100UpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$51.4
Combined PnL
-$135.33
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares194
Combined PnL-$144.11
Up2 traders
Total Value$51.4
Total Shares51
Combined PnL+$8.78
Down — 60%Up — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 73.4¢ | $92.59 | — | -$92.59 | 57% 71206-54306 (125512) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 32.5¢ | $27.37 | — | -$27.37 | 55% 45398-37789 (83187) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 43.6¢ | $24.15 | — | -$24.15 | 55% 18044-14641 (32685) |
UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 90.8¢ | $37.2 | $40.98 | +$3.78 | 63% 52172-31048 (83220) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 52¢ | $5.42 | $10.42 | +$5 | 64% 23991-13230 (37221) |
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$92.59
Value
—
PnL
-$92.59
Record
57%
71206-54306 (125512)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$27.37
Value
—
PnL
-$27.37
Record
55%
45398-37789 (83187)
KA
Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100Invested
$24.15
Value
—
PnL
-$24.15
Record
55%
18044-14641 (32685)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$37.2
Value
$40.98
PnL
+$3.78
Record
63%
52172-31048 (83220)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$5.42
Value
$10.42
PnL
+$5
Record
64%
23991-13230 (37221)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x52488938...d6e1f1
Slug
doge-updown-5m-1793453100