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DownUpUpDownUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 60%
Total Value
$51
Combined PnL
$22.96
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down2 traders
Total Value$51
Total Shares51
Combined PnL+$29.89
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares18
Combined PnL-$6.93
Down — 40%Up — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507<$100 | Downavg 38.5¢ | $17.71 | $46 | +$28.29 | 48% 23258-25567 (48825) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 51.1¢ | $5.15 | — | -$5.15 | 55% 17762-14385 (32147) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 29¢ | $1.74 | — | -$1.74 | 68% 99316-47652 (146968) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 68¢ | $3.4 | $5 | +$1.6 | 64% 23076-12710 (35786) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $0.04 | — | -$0.04 | 59% 62205-43384 (105589) |
0X
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507<$100Invested
$17.71
Value
$46
PnL
+$28.29
Record
48%
23258-25567 (48825)
KA
Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100Invested
$5.15
Value
—
PnL
-$5.15
Record
55%
17762-14385 (32147)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$1.74
Value
—
PnL
-$1.74
Record
68%
99316-47652 (146968)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$3.4
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.6
Record
64%
23076-12710 (35786)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$0.04
Value
—
PnL
-$0.04
Record
59%
62205-43384 (105589)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x907436a6...43728c
Slug
doge-updown-5m-1793358000