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UpUpDownDown
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Down
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$21.56
Combined PnL
$2.62
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$21.56
Total Shares22
Combined PnL+$3.3
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares23
Combined PnL-$0.68
Up — 40%Down — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 72.8¢ | $11.06 | $11.56 | +$0.5 | 57% 70079-53264 (123343) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 61.5¢ | $7.2 | $10 | +$2.8 | 55% 17472-14100 (31572) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 1.6¢ | $0.17 | — | -$0.17 | 59% 62048-43126 (105174) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.1 | — | -$0.1 | 48% 23122-25284 (48406) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 29¢ | $0.41 | — | -$0.41 | 55% 44309-36802 (81111) |
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$11.06
Value
$11.56
PnL
+$0.5
Record
57%
70079-53264 (123343)
KA
Kathod-Shi-14<$100Invested
$7.2
Value
$10
PnL
+$2.8
Record
55%
17472-14100 (31572)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$0.17
Value
—
PnL
-$0.17
Record
59%
62048-43126 (105174)
0X
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100Invested
$0.1
Value
—
PnL
-$0.1
Record
48%
23122-25284 (48406)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.41
Value
—
PnL
-$0.41
Record
55%
44309-36802 (81111)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xaa308d45...0fdd26
Slug
doge-updown-5m-1793247300