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MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Down
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100DownDownDownUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
Resolved Up. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 80%
Total Value
$4.08
Combined PnL
-$19.39
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares52
Combined PnL-$23.39
Up1 trader
Total Value$4.08
Total Shares4
Combined PnL+$4
Down — 80%Up — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 19.9¢ | $7.38 | — | -$7.38 | 55% 44239-36719 (80958) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 10¢ | $1.4 | — | -$1.4 | 63% 51338-30220 (81558) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 86¢ | $9.21 | — | -$9.21 | 65% 21925-12064 (33989) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 78¢ | $5.4 | — | -$5.4 | 55% 17411-14044 (31455) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $0.08 | $4.08 | +$4 | 59% 62020-43089 (105109) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$7.38
Value
—
PnL
-$7.38
Record
55%
44239-36719 (80958)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1.4
Value
—
PnL
-$1.4
Record
63%
51338-30220 (81558)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$9.21
Value
—
PnL
-$9.21
Record
65%
21925-12064 (33989)
KA
Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100Invested
$5.4
Value
—
PnL
-$5.4
Record
55%
17411-14044 (31455)
0X
0x50f7<$100Invested
$0.08
Value
$4.08
PnL
+$4
Record
59%
62020-43089 (105109)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x1ac59aa5...092dd1
Slug
doge-updown-5m-1793233200