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Up
MayorMamdani<$100DownUpUp
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Up
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 80%
Total Value
$38.49
Combined PnL
-$18.36
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares80
Combined PnL-$40.6
Down1 trader
Total Value$38.49
Total Shares38
Combined PnL+$22.23
Up — 80%Down — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 55.2¢ | $25.97 | — | -$25.97 | 57% 69881-53093 (122974) |
MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 42.2¢ | $16.26 | $38.49 | +$22.23 | 55% 44030-36522 (80552) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 51.7¢ | $8.15 | — | -$8.15 | 65% 21722-11935 (33657) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 38¢ | $5 | — | -$5 | 55% 17284-13893 (31177) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 11¢ | $1.48 | — | -$1.48 | 63% 51234-30144 (81378) |
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$25.97
Value
—
PnL
-$25.97
Record
57%
69881-53093 (122974)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$16.26
Value
$38.49
PnL
+$22.23
Record
55%
44030-36522 (80552)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$8.15
Value
—
PnL
-$8.15
Record
65%
21722-11935 (33657)
KA
Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100Invested
$5
Value
—
PnL
-$5
Record
55%
17284-13893 (31177)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1.48
Value
—
PnL
-$1.48
Record
63%
51234-30144 (81378)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x8f4406e2...c0af8c
Slug
doge-updown-5m-1793208900