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Up
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100DownDownDown
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Down
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
Resolved Up. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 80%
Total Value
$25.15
Combined PnL
-$10.11
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up1 trader
Total Value$25.15
Total Shares25
Combined PnL-$0.99
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares50
Combined PnL-$9.12
Up — 20%Down — 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 77.3¢ | $26.14 | $25.15 | -$0.99 | 57% 69844-53054 (122898) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 15.7¢ | $3.33 | — | -$3.33 | 63% 51208-30132 (81340) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 4.5¢ | $0.62 | — | -$0.62 | 59% 61971-43014 (104985) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 33¢ | $3.15 | — | -$3.15 | 55% 17240-13879 (31119) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 19.6¢ | $2.02 | — | -$2.02 | 55% 44030-36522 (80552) |
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$26.14
Value
$25.15
PnL
-$0.99
Record
57%
69844-53054 (122898)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$3.33
Value
—
PnL
-$3.33
Record
63%
51208-30132 (81340)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$0.62
Value
—
PnL
-$0.62
Record
59%
61971-43014 (104985)
KA
Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100Invested
$3.15
Value
—
PnL
-$3.15
Record
55%
17240-13879 (31119)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$2.02
Value
—
PnL
-$2.02
Record
55%
44030-36522 (80552)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe4014c33...8de40b
Slug
doge-updown-5m-1793204100