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cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100DownDownUpDown Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Down β but Up won instead.

Dogecoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
π
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$17.13
Combined PnL
$7.74
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$17.13
Total Shares17
Combined PnL+$12.1
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares18
Combined PnL-$4.36
Up β 40%Down β 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 23Β’ | $3.45 | $15 | +$11.55 | 48% 2455-2651 (5106) |
![]() cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 18.5Β’ | $1.85 | β | -$1.85 | 50% 1714-1745 (3459) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Downavg 35Β’ | $2.1 | β | -$2.1 | 42% 2015-2741 (4756) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 53Β’ | $1.58 | $2.13 | +$0.55 | 60% 4136-2815 (6951) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 18Β’ | $0.41 | β | -$0.41 | 49% 2434-2485 (4919) |
0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100Invested
$3.45
Value
$15
PnL
+$11.55
Record
48%
2455-2651 (5106)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$1.85
Value
β
PnL
-$1.85
Record
50%
1714-1745 (3459)
0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100Invested
$2.1
Value
β
PnL
-$2.1
Record
42%
2015-2741 (4756)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$1.58
Value
$2.13
PnL
+$0.55
Record
60%
4136-2815 (6951)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$0.41
Value
β
PnL
-$0.41
Record
49%
2434-2485 (4919)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x17405ccb...367703
Slug
doge-updown-15m-1794747600