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DownDownUp
UpandDownSyndrome<$100UpDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$72.18
Combined PnL
-$128.47
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares364
Combined PnL-$141.8
Up2 traders
Total Value$72.18
Total Shares72
Combined PnL+$13.33
Down — 60%Up — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 31.2¢ | $74.1 | — | -$74.1 | 55% 18044-14641 (32685) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 35.7¢ | $63.5 | — | -$63.5 | 57% 71206-54306 (125512) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 70.7¢ | $51.69 | $52.18 | +$13.13 | 64% 23991-13230 (37221) |
UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $19.8 | $20 | +$0.2 | 63% 52172-31048 (83220) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 31¢ | $4.2 | — | -$4.2 | 56% 58323-44993 (103316) |
KA
Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100Invested
$74.1
Value
—
PnL
-$74.1
Record
55%
18044-14641 (32685)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$63.5
Value
—
PnL
-$63.5
Record
57%
71206-54306 (125512)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$51.69
Value
$52.18
PnL
+$13.13
Record
64%
23991-13230 (37221)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$19.8
Value
$20
PnL
+$0.2
Record
63%
52172-31048 (83220)
0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100Invested
$4.2
Value
—
PnL
-$4.2
Record
56%
58323-44993 (103316)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x6a2d2969...6d7f34
Slug
doge-updown-15m-1793452500