Back to Markets
RN1ARB<$100YesNoYesYesNo
HRTradingCTR<$100Yes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will SV 07 Elversberg vs. SV Darmstadt 98 end in a draw?
Resolved No. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 50%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$83.33
Combined PnL
$11.89
Smart Money Signal
No
2 of 5 top traders (40%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No2 traders
Total Value$56.75
Total Shares57
Combined PnL+$13.59
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares7
Combined PnL-$1.7
No — 40%Yes — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RN1ARB<$100 | Yesavg 12¢ | $196.31 | $26.58 | -$161.06 | 54% 55451-47514 (102965) |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 12¢ | $172.92 | — | -$165.71 | |
| └ No leg | Noavg 88¢ | $23.39 | $26.58 | +$4.65 | |
FO foooool<$100 | Noavg 88¢ | $43.16 | $56.75 | +$13.59 | 50% 10471-10332 (20803) |
HE hedgevaultmainnet1CTR<$100 | Yesavg 25¢ | $1.7 | — | -$1.7 | 53% 2049-1816 (3865) |
UP UpTheBluesCTR<$100 | Yesavg 18¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 44384-30773 (75157) |
GO GoalLineGhost<$100 | Noavg 87.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 24189-23811 (48000) |
HRTradingCTR<$100 | Yesavg 6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 2744-2368 (5112) |
RN1ARB<$100Invested
$196.31
Value
$26.58
PnL
-$161.06
Record
54%
55451-47514 (102965)
Both legs:
Yes$172.9212¢-$165.71
No$23.3988¢+$4.65
FO
foooool<$100Invested
$43.16
Value
$56.75
PnL
+$13.59
Record
50%
10471-10332 (20803)
HE
hedgevaultmainnet1CTR<$100Invested
$1.7
Value
—
PnL
-$1.7
Record
53%
2049-1816 (3865)
UP
UpTheBluesCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
44384-30773 (75157)
GO
GoalLineGhost<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
24189-23811 (48000)
HRTradingCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
2744-2368 (5112)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x09ceda5e...abbc7e
Slug
dfb-elv-svd-2026-10-27-draw