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HRTrading<$100Under
poshposhCTR<$100Over
RN1CTR<$100OverUnderUnder
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 7.5
Resolved Under. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Over 67%
Total Value
$10
Combined PnL
-$5.68
Smart Money Signal
Over
2 of 5 top traders (40%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under3 traders
Total Value$10
Total Shares10
Combined PnL+$0.33
Over2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares173
Combined PnL-$6.01
Under — 60%Over — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HRTrading<$100 | Underavg 98.3¢ | $9.83 | $10 | +$0.33 | 54% 2744-2368 (5112) |
poshposhCTR<$100 | Overavg 1.7¢ | $2.27 | — | -$4.47 | 60% 9181-6134 (15315) |
RN1CTR<$100 | Overavg 3.8¢ | $1.52 | — | -$1.54 | 54% 55451-47514 (102965) |
UP UpTheBlues<$100 | Underavg 95.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 44384-30773 (75157) |
GO GoalLineGhost<$100 | Underavg 96.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 24189-23811 (48000) |
HRTrading<$100Invested
$9.83
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.33
Record
54%
2744-2368 (5112)
poshposhCTR<$100Invested
$2.27
Value
—
PnL
-$4.47
Record
60%
9181-6134 (15315)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
$1.52
Value
—
PnL
-$1.54
Record
54%
55451-47514 (102965)
UP
UpTheBlues<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
44384-30773 (75157)
GO
GoalLineGhost<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
24189-23811 (48000)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xb543d728...183835
Slug
dfb-bvb-bre-2026-10-27-total-7pt5