Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw?
Resolved No. 88% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
8
No 75%
1 arb excluded
$3.3K
$119.98
Smart Money Signal
7 of 8 top traders (88%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 RN1ARB<$100 | Noavg 54.4¢ | $2.4K | $3.1K | +$729.35 | 54% 55451-47514 (102965) |
| └ No leg | Noavg 54.4¢ | $1.7K | $3.1K | +$1.4K | |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 45.9¢ | $806.6 | — | -$684.42 | |
FO foooool<$100 | Noavg 52.7¢ | $38.48 | $90 | +$51.53 | 50% 10471-10332 (20803) |
 poshposh<$100 | Noavg 6.4¢ | $2.98 | $46.52 | +$48.17 | 60% 9181-6134 (15315) |
 HRTrading<$100 | Noavg 10.5¢ | $0.11 | $20.3 | +$20.19 | 54% 2744-2368 (5112) |
CA CannaeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 15¢ | $1.01 | — | +$0.09 | 53% 15692-13873 (29565) |
UP UpTheBlues<$100 | Noavg 83¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 44384-30773 (75157) |
GO GoalLineGhost<$100 | Noavg 26.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 24189-23811 (48000) |
SN SnakeBall<$100 | Noavg 95.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 32664-32213 (64877) |
0X 0x7e1f9c90800E42806e242ABC5fcf26B571c79C27-1775842903107<$100 | Noavg 90¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 2539-2577 (5116) |
RN1ARB<$100Invested
$2,369.43
Value
$3.1K
PnL
+$729.35
Record
54%
55451-47514 (102965)
Both legs:
Invested
$38.48
Value
$90
PnL
+$51.53
Record
50%
10471-10332 (20803)
poshposh<$100Invested
$2.98
Value
$46.52
PnL
+$48.17
Record
60%
9181-6134 (15315)
HRTrading<$100Invested
$0.11
Value
$20.3
PnL
+$20.19
Record
54%
2744-2368 (5112)
Invested
$1.01
Value
—
PnL
+$0.09
Record
53%
15692-13873 (29565)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
44384-30773 (75157)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
24189-23811 (48000)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
32664-32213 (64877)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
2539-2577 (5116)
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