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NoNoYesYesYesNoNoNo
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. AC Sparta Praha end in a draw?
Resolved Yes. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
No 63%
Total Value
$31.31
Combined PnL
-$444.95
Smart Money Signal
No
5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares2,086
Combined PnL-$466.61
Yes3 traders
Total Value$31.31
Total Shares31
Combined PnL+$21.66
No — 63%Yes — 37%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR | Noavg 57¢ | $114.5 | — | -$59.72 | 46% 2024-2378 (4402) |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | Noavg 9¢ | $28.22 | — | -$28.22 | 47% 2130-2385 (4515) |
LO looppau<$100 | Yesavg 99.9¢ | $12 | $12 | +$0.01 | 99% 15876-133 (16009) |
LI LightParadox<$100 | Yesavg 27¢ | $17.96 | $17.96 | +$20.65 | 47% 2124-2359 (4483) |
P1 P1kaso<$100 | Yesavg 26¢ | $0.35 | $1.35 | +$1 | 64% 1196-687 (1883) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR | Noavg 21.6¢ | $1.6K | — | -$346.26 | 50% 32573-32704 (65277) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Noavg 9.9¢ | $17.44 | — | -$17.44 | 49% 2208-2325 (4533) |
VE VenusianCTR<$100 | Noavg 73¢ | $14.96 | — | -$14.96 | 47% 2177-2413 (4590) |
KE
keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTRInvested
$114.5
Value
—
PnL
-$59.72
Record
46%
2024-2378 (4402)
MA
MadridTimeCTR<$100Invested
$28.22
Value
—
PnL
-$28.22
Record
47%
2130-2385 (4515)
LO
looppau<$100Invested
$12
Value
$12
PnL
+$0.01
Record
99%
15876-133 (16009)
LI
LightParadox<$100Invested
$17.96
Value
$17.96
PnL
+$20.65
Record
47%
2124-2359 (4483)
P1
P1kaso<$100Invested
$0.35
Value
$1.35
PnL
+$1
Record
64%
1196-687 (1883)
GO
GoalLineGhostCTRInvested
$1,599.81
Value
—
PnL
-$346.26
Record
50%
32573-32704 (65277)
LI
LimousinCTR<$100Invested
$17.44
Value
—
PnL
-$17.44
Record
49%
2208-2325 (4533)
VE
VenusianCTR<$100Invested
$14.96
Value
—
PnL
-$14.96
Record
47%
2177-2413 (4590)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xb47b5a40...6d39cd
Slug
cze1-fvp-asp-2026-11-08-draw