Counter-Strike: your end vs Damajuana - Map 2 Winner

7 of 10 top Polymarket traders hold your end (70%) · your end at 100¢ · $13K held · ends Nov 10

your end>99¢Damajuana<1¢Ends Tue, Nov 10, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

your end

Consensus Traders

your end 70%

Total Value

$12.8K

Combined PnL

$1.3K

Smart Money Entry

68.2¢ → 100¢

+47% since entry · 7 traders

Research grade

Neutralyour end at 100%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

your end

7 of 10 top traders (70%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

your end100%

Damajuana0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

your end7 traders

Total Value$10.3K

Total Shares11,186

Combined PnL+$774.93

Damajuana3 traders

Total Value$2.4K

Total Shares3,199

Combined PnL+$536.53

your end — 70%Damajuana — 30%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
GT gt7238	your endavg 48.9¢	$2.7K	$3.6K	+$1.1K	2% 5-308 (313)
VP Vps1	your endavg 99.9¢	$3.1K	$3.1K	+$1.55	67% 14-7 (21)
31 319113331313111	your endavg 66.3¢	$3.1K	$3.0K	-$135.76	35% 21-39 (60)
XJ xjansfsaCTR	Damajuanaavg 40.4¢	$1.4K	$2.0K	+$593.48	— 0-13 (13)
38 38791873984189CTR	Damajuanaavg 41.2¢	$410.63	$277.49	-$111.14	49% 388-405 (793)
PA pauleta23	your endavg 55.9¢	$260.18	$250.61	-$9.04	22% 62-223 (285)
alpheclabs2	your endavg 47¢	$376.94	$212.53	-$164.41	47% 40-46 (86)
OM omnibus-076daaCTR	Damajuanaavg 49.3¢	$110.4	$164.6	+$54.2	33% 72-144 (216)
LR lryyy	your endavg 54.7¢	$78.55	$123.44	+$44.89	58% 44-32 (76)
VeryLucky888	your endavg 65.2¢	$300	$103.5	-$92.25	48% 61-65 (126)

gt7238

your end

Invested

$2,712.23

Value

$3.6K

PnL

+$1.1K

Record

5-308 (313)

Vps1

your end

Invested

$3,091.63

Value

$3.1K

PnL

+$1.55

Record

67%

14-7 (21)

319113331313111

your end

Invested

$3,106.21

Value

$3.0K

PnL

-$135.76

Record

35%

21-39 (60)

xjansfsaCTR

Damajuana

Invested

$1,373

Value

$2.0K

PnL

+$593.48

Record

—

0-13 (13)

38791873984189CTR

Damajuana

Invested

$410.63

Value

$277.49

PnL

-$111.14

Record

49%

388-405 (793)

pauleta23

your end

Invested

$260.18

Value

$250.61

PnL

-$9.04

Record

22%

62-223 (285)

alpheclabs2

your end

Invested

$376.94

Value

$212.53

PnL

-$164.41

Record

47%

40-46 (86)

omnibus-076daaCTR

Damajuana

Invested

$110.4

Value

$164.6

PnL

+$54.2

Record

33%

72-144 (216)

lryyy

your end

Invested

$78.55

Value

$123.44

PnL

+$44.89

Record

58%

44-32 (76)

VeryLucky888

your end

Invested

$300

Value

$103.5

PnL

-$92.25

Record

48%

61-65 (126)

Research grade

Neutralyour end at 100%

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

Smart Money Signal

your end

7 of 10 top traders (70%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that your end wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.